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The Non-Markovian Approach to the Valuation and Dynamic Hedging of Contingent Claims on Power with Spikes

Valery A. Kholodnyi

Abstract



We present and further develop a new approach to modeling power prices with spikes proposed earlier by the author. In contrast to other approaches, we model power prices with spikes as a non-Markovian stochastic process that allows for modeling spikes directly as self-reversing jumps. We show how this approach can be used to value European contingent claims on power with spikes as well as to value and dynamically hedge European contingent claims on forwards on power for power with spikes.

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