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Spatio–Temporal Analysis of Inflation Rate in East Java, Indonesia :Vector Autoregressive Approach

E. Sumarminingsih

Abstract



The purpose of this study is to present the application of Vector Autoregressive (VAR) to spatio–temporal analysis of Inflation rate in East Java Indonesia.The conclusion of this study are inflation rates in almost all the cities namely Madiun, Probolinggo, Jember and Malang influenced by the inflation rate of Surabaya in the previous month. Moreover the inflation rate of Malang is also influenced by the inflation rate of Kediri in the previous month and inflation rate of Kediri is influenced by the inflation rate of the Sumenep in previous month. While the inflation rate of Surabaya and Sumenep not affected by the inflation rate of any city.

Keywords


Spatio-temporal, Inflation Rate, Vector Autoregressive, Indonesia

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