Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription or Fee Access

Estimating the Occurrence of Fatal Road Accidents: A Mathematical Model

J. N. Mojekwu, Ismaila Adeleke


The study examines the trend of road accidents occurred between the years 1998 and 2007 on Lagos roads, Nigeria and attempts to predict future occurrences using negative binomial models. The results shows that negative binomial models can yield good estimates for future prediction.


Fatal Road Accidents, Negative Binomial, Models, Prediction of estimates, Moments

Full Text:


Disclaimer/Regarding indexing issue:

We have provided the online access of all issues and papers to the indexing agencies (as given on journal web site). It’s depend on indexing agencies when, how and what manner they can index or not. Hence, we like to inform that on the basis of earlier indexing, we can’t predict the today or future indexing policy of third party (i.e. indexing agencies) as they have right to discontinue any journal at any time without prior information to the journal. So, please neither sends any question nor expects any answer from us on the behalf of third party i.e. indexing agencies.Hence, we will not issue any certificate or letter for indexing issue. Our role is just to provide the online access to them. So we do properly this and one can visit indexing agencies website to get the authentic information.