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Estimating the Occurrence of Fatal Road Accidents: A Mathematical Model

J. N. Mojekwu, Ismaila Adeleke

Abstract


The study examines the trend of road accidents occurred between the years 1998 and 2007 on Lagos roads, Nigeria and attempts to predict future occurrences using negative binomial models. The results shows that negative binomial models can yield good estimates for future prediction.

Keywords


Fatal Road Accidents, Negative Binomial, Models, Prediction of estimates, Moments

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